Why Private Equity funds should push for Telecom Enablers.
Over the past two years Private Equity (PE) has become a
major part of M&A activity in the telecoms sector and several exits have
shown the high values PE can extract. We believe PE is right to reactivate its
interest in telecoms, as the sector is both attractive and PE goals and methods
fits the current state of the sector:
- Telecoms
is attractive, as it is the biggest part of the economy, and has growth
faster than GDP.
- Most
telecom operating companies (telcos) still have low productivity relative
to other service and Utility sectors so PE methods should be able squeeze
more value out of them.
However the window of opportunity for standard PE methods is
closing fast. The industry is striving for productivity improvement and so
squeezing out more value by itself; the industry believes its traditional
markets are saturated, so is going for growth in new services which are
higher-risk and so more VC than PE investments; the increased interest in telco
M&A is pushing up acquisition prices.
The key question for PE is therefore: Are there
value-extracting opportunities beyond traditional methods or should PE quickly
sweep up the few remaining attractive telco M&A candidates, then move on?
We believe: Private Equity investors should extend their
traditional PE methods to open up many more Telco M&A candidates, and take
the Telcos from the hunting to farming level by complementing the Net-co and Serve-co
arms of a Telco with an Enabler arm, adding 50% to the Net Present Value (NPV)
of investments in five years!
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